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Wednesday, March 19, 2014

Tsarist Ambitions...Seeds of Cold War II

Trust Vladimir Putin to define the Russian version of 'Cowboy'.Words like annexation,acts like taking over of parliament by Russian supporters etc sound anachronistic in the 21st Century.The Tsars must finally be finding some common ground with a communist after lying in the graves for more than a century.

But read your history of the last 150 odd years and somehow it does not seem surprising at all.The old wars are being fought under new aliases is all.

The graveyard of Empires continues to be so.Afghanistan.

The British,Russians and now the American coalition driven out by a bunch of fanatic tribesmen.Simple tech or firepower sometimes does not work along expected lines.


The adventures in Ukraine,Crimea signifies a new order where a powerful nation state can steamroll legitimate countries,usurp territory,browbeat the politics into submission as long as it has the natural resources to take on the World.A Russia full of natural gas,oil and gold reserves has silenced Europe for no Prime Minister worth his political salt would have the gas tap turned off or see an unprecedented increase in prices sudden enough to upset all calculations.

A stifled President Obama and non existent United Nations is guilty of simply standing by.Will China take this as an opportunity to annex spratly islands from Vietnam,Phillipines,Japan?Will it launch a raid to capture Ladakh,Sikkim and Arunachal from India.That after having completely swallowed Tibet.

A decade after the American led forces dismembered former Yugoslavia to form Serbia,Bosnia,Montenegro,Kosovo etc ad the USSR dismembered itself,the World is set for another round of geographic battles.

Rather than a cooperative ambience across the globe to battle hunger,greenhouse gases,shrinking wildlife habitats......we are back to taking the planet to the brink of another armageddon.As if sundry uprisings in Syria,Libya,the simmering palestine issue and a generally unsettled Asia weren't enough!

It seems that the Russia-China axis will take on Nato led sanctions,more frightening is the emergence of a National policy that allows a military-economic power to impose its will on weaker neighbours.The destruction of an indigenous culture may take many decades but often enough the recovery takes many centuries.

India-still to emerge from the british indigo tax and the prohibition in manufacturing has yet to regain its basic industrial shape six decades after indepence.More countries will slip under the shadow of a dominant neighbour.Multi national companies that held sway finally have a competitor in the form of one Super-president.Will there be more...?